Monitor Municipios · por Unholster
Demographics

Demographic simulator to 2050

How each comuna's population changes and how much it ages. Official INE series (2017 base) through 2035; from 2036 to 2050, the monitor's own estimate, extrapolating each comuna's trend and matching the national total to the official figure (21.6 million and 32.1% over 60 in 2050).

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Methodology: bounded comuna-level CAGR 2025–2035, rescaled to official national controls; ageing extrapolated in logit space per comuna. Details in the repository (research/proyeccion-poblacion.md). Years 2036–2050 are an estimate, not an official projection.

Demographic simulator · Monitor Municipios